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Trans-Pacific Shipping: The 2026 Outlook
On demand, Free
The seasonal rush or lack of before factories slow or cease production for two-week long China’ s Lunar New Year celebrations will give the trans-Pacific trade a good barometer on just how depressed Asia import volumes will be for the rest of the years. Analysts forecast Asia import growth in 2026 to be in the very low single-digits to flat compared to last year The materialization of any seasonal rush and how carriers respond with capacity will provide a better sense of first-half demand, reflecting restocking for post-holiday sales and demand for spring wares. While bookings for Asia exports to North America have held up, as measured by maritime visibility provider Vizion and data and analytics company Dun & Bradstreet, the forward-looking demand indicators look lackluster. The National Retail Federation( NRF), in its monthly Global Port Tracker, forecasts the first month-over-month gain in import volumes( January from December) in six months, but noted that yearover-year import volumes would remain negative compared to quite strong import volumes early in 2025 as retailers frontloaded merchandise due to the expectation of higher tariffs. The webcast will provide an outlook on volume demand, ocean reliability and port performance, and annual trans-Pacific service contract negotiations. https:// bit. ly / 4qEIPnY
FEATURED CONTENT
Risk and Recalibration: The 2026 Breakbulk and Project Cargo Outlook
On demand, Free
As 2025 drew to a close, project cargo and breakbulk freight demand remained stable, with high hopes that a positive pipeline for mining, power generation for data centers, and LNG projects would keep the market busy. But not everything in the outlook is rosy. With falling oil prices threatening to knock a revitalization of oil and petrochemical projects on the head and the long tail of tariff confusion continuing into 2026, uncertainty could drag on all-important project final investment decisions. Engineering, procurement and construction companies speaking with the Journal of Commerce anticipate a busy 2026, but whereas previous years have been laser-focused on planning, the objective now is speed, putting pressure on the supply chain. This build-it-now mentality is forcing shippers to book ship capacity further out to ensure readiness when the go button on a project is pressed. Add to this, pressures on seaborne chokepoints, congestion and that ever-present specter of geopolitics, and it stands to reason that 2026 will continue to see challenges on project timescales and punctuality. This hourlong webcast will take a practical, data-backed look at what 2026 may hold and how your breakbulk and project cargo supply chain can prepare for what is ahead. https:// bit. ly / 4qB9TEy
Executive Editor: Mark Szakonyi 202.872.1234, mark. szakonyi @ spglobal. com
Managing Editor: Benjamin Meyer 916.716.6272, benjamin. meyer @ spglobal. com
Managing Editor: Kevin Saville, 347.308.3743, kevin. saville2 @ spglobal. com
Senior Editors: William B. Cassidy Trucking and Domestic Transportation 202.872.1228, bill. cassidy @ spglobal. com
Bill Mongelluzzo, West Coast 562.428.5999, bill. mongelluzzo @ spglobal. com
Eric Johnson, Technology 213.444.9326, eric. johnson @ spglobal. com
Janet Nodar, Breakbulk and Heavy Lift 251.408.2090, janet. nodar @ spglobal. com
Greg Knowler, Europe + 44.797.679.8770, greg. knowler @ spglobal. com
Ari Ashe, Southeast Ports, Intermodal Rail 202.548.7895, ari. ashe @ spglobal. com
Michael Angell, Northeast ports, 646.505.4712, michael. angell @ spglobal. com
Carly Fields, Associate Editor, + 44( 0) 7966 210030, carly. fields @ spglobal. com
Senior Research Analyst, Project and Breakbulk Cargo: Susan Oatway, FICS, + 44.7930.411659 susan. oatway @ spglobal. com
Data Hub Manager: Marcin Lejk, + 44.58.741.6270, marcin. lejk @ spglobal. com
Shipper Engagement Manager: Annalee Witte, 317.941.8130, annalee. witte @ spglobal. com
Shipper Engagement Manager, Breakbulk: Diana Hamm, 832.499.7368, diana. hamm @ spglobal. com
Senior Editor, Special Projects: Alessandra Gregory Barrett, 860.248.5238, alessandra. barrett @ spglobal. com
Senior Associate Editor, Special Projects: Ariane Herrera, 215.789.7478, ariane. Herrera @ spglobal. com
Special Projects Coordinator: Amanda Hunter, 212.205.1226, amanda. hunter @ spglobal. com
Senior Designer: Sue Abt, sue. abt @ spglobal. com
Associate Production Editor: Ivan Klos, ivan. klos @ spglobal. com
Designer: Hannah Kidd, + 44 203 253 2134, hannah. kidd @ spglobal. com
Welshboy2020 / Shutterstock. com Ari Ashe / Journal of Commerce.
USDOT releases interim final rule on non-domiciled CDL holders
The US Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration( FMCSA) has released its final rule on non-domiciled commercial driver’ s licenses( CDLs), but the trucking industry is still split on its potential impact on capacity. https:// bit. ly / 4bX5PtN
STG Logistics survives key bankruptcy hurdle to remain in business
STG Logistics has received $ 40 million in new funding and another reserve fund of $ 25 million after a deal was reached between lenders ahead of a key hearing before a New Jersey bankruptcy court. https:// bit. ly / 4kHOze8
Sales: Cindy Cronin, Executive Director 954.260.6061, cindy. cronin @ spglobal. com
Jean Gibbons, Senior Sales Executive West Coast, FL, GA sales, 706.469.7160
Kimberly Davis Guerra, Senior Sales Executive Midwest, Gulf, Latin America sales, 832.370.6350
John Knowles, Sales Manager APAC, EMEA, AU sales, + 44.777.997.4677
Allyson Marek, Senior Sales Executive Northeast sales, 727.337.3010
Elaine Nosaka, Senior Sales Executive VA, NC, SC, Canada sales, 703.447.9555
UPCOMING EVENTS events. joc. com
TPM26: March 1-4, 2026 | Long Beach, California Breakbulk & Project Cargo Conference: April 20-22, 2026 | New Orleans, Louisiana Inland Distribution Conference: September 28-30, 2026 | Chicago, Illinois
Journal of Commerce( USPS 279 – 060), ISSN 1530-7557, March 2, 2026, Volume 27, Issue No. 3. Journal of Commerce is published monthly( 12 issues a year) by JOC Group Inc., 55 Water St., 39th Floor, New York, N. Y. 10041. Subscription price: $ 595 a year. Periodicals postage paid at New York, N. Y., and additional mailing offices. © All rights reserved. No portion of this publication may be copied or reprinted without written permission from the publisher. POSTMASTER: Please send address changes to Journal of Commerce, Subscription Services Department, 55 Water St., 39th Floor, New York, N. Y. 10041.
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Peter Tirschwell, Vice President- Shipping Intellience, S & P Global
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